CertaGrid Health

Healthcare research and forensic analytics

Structural analysis of consolidation in American healthcare delivery

CertaGrid Health is a healthcare research and forensic analytics firm focused on the structural reality of consolidation in American healthcare delivery. It is the work of one analyst, and every engagement is performed personally.

The firm operates across three pillars: a weekly analytical publication examining the architecture of healthcare consolidation arrangements; a research series presenting the firm's structural and operational verification methodology in instrument form; and analytical services for physician groups evaluating affiliation, the advisers who represent them, healthcare attorneys, institutional investors, and health systems that require document-level structural analysis where public disclosure does not reach.

The firm's analytical posture is forensic rather than evaluative. The methodology characterizes what consolidation arrangements operationally do, distinguishing representational language from operational reality, and surfaces the structural questions that document-level review must address.


The Healthcare Structural Review is published weekly on LinkedIn. Recent editions have examined the disclosure architecture of payer-owned ambulatory surgery center platforms, the document-level structure of value-based care partnerships between investor-backed platforms and physician groups, and the gap between representational language at IPO and operational reality across multi-year disclosure cycles.

Read the current edition and archive on LinkedIn.


The research series is the firm's methodology, set down in full. Each volume documents its own analytical instruments — the matrices, checklists, and audits that read an arrangement's representations against its operative reality — so that a reading made with them can be examined and defended rather than merely asserted. The ASC set alone sets down seven such instruments, each with a template and a worked application. An engagement applies the same published method to a particular arrangement.

A specimen of the reading

Consider a representative arrangement. The management agreement reserves every clinical decision to the professional entity; the operating records show case-acceptance standards and staffing targets issued centrally, under the management company's name. The documents and the records do not describe the same arrangement. The analysis locates that divergence — what each instrument grants, where the operative record departs from it, and the evidence that establishes the departure — and stops there, short of pronouncing the gap lawful or unlawful, which is a question for counsel and the tribunal.


Alongside the firm's published research, I take a small number of independent engagements. The work is structural verification of consolidation arrangements: examining whether an arrangement operates as its documents represent. An independent structural reading is a different instrument from the work any party to a transaction performs. Counsel drafts and represents. Operators carry the growth thesis. Advisers run the process and know their market. The reading offered here sits outside those roles, which is what makes it usable by any of them, and it takes no position on whether a transaction should close.

The value of this work depends on its independence. I do not advise both sides of a transaction, sit on deal teams, or participate in negotiation, and I do not accept contingent or success-based fees; my compensation never depends on a transaction closing or on any particular finding. Engagements are confidential.

The engagement practice is new. The method it applies is not: it is published in full across four volumes, and applied weekly against the filings of named platforms. A prospective client can read the method before commissioning anything, and judge it before I am in the room.

The work takes a few specific forms.

A structural read of one platform. $8,000 a year. When the question is how a specific public acquirer has treated the physicians already inside it, I read that platform from its own filings and deliver a written file, maintained and reissued as each new filing lands. The file covers:

  1. 1What the physicians hold after each acquisition, how they came to hold it, and what the acquirer recorded it as: purchase consideration, compensation, equity outside stockholders’ deficit, or a liability.
  2. 2What that interest has been carried at in each reporting period since the transaction closed, with the components of every movement.
  3. 3The exit terms as the filings state them: call and put rights and their cadence, any pricing basis or floor, repurchases already occurring, forfeiture provisions, vesting and service periods.
  4. 4Whether the purchase price allocation is preliminary or final, and what has moved between filings while it was open.
  5. 5What the transaction announcement said about the retained interest, set against what the filing later recorded.
  6. 6The operative documents where the acquirer has filed them as exhibits: what happens to a unit at closing, the consideration mechanics, the forfeiture and exit terms, and the closing conditions that governed what holders did and did not sign.
  7. 7A source code on every figure, naming the filing and the period it came from, so each one can be checked against the document rather than taken on my word.

One named platform, its public filings and the exhibits filed with them, roughly ten business days from the first payment, and a call included to walk through the result. The price is per firm rather than per seat, and it covers a year: the file is reissued as each new filing lands, with a dated record of anything an update changes. A file that sits still is one 8-K away from being wrong, which is why it is maintained rather than sold once. Invoiced by CertaGrid Health, Inc. and paid by ACH, half on go-ahead and half on delivery in the first year, then annually on renewal at the same price. This is the one engagement with a fixed published price; the forms below are scoped individually.

Reading the arrangement on the table. When a physician group is being offered affiliation with an MSO or a platform, the reserved powers that determine clinical authority are not public, and filing work reaches them only in fragments: a term, a renewal structure, a fee basis, disclosed once and then aggregated away. What the group has is the agreement in front of it. I read that document against what the arrangement will operationally do: where clinical authority actually sits, what the reserved powers reach, and how the economics, compensation, and exit terms behave once the founding terms are tested. The work is retained by the group directly, or by the group on the referral of its adviser, and it is delivered while the terms can still change.

Independent transaction diligence. When an investor, acquirer, or health system is evaluating or recapitalizing an ASC, physician, or dental platform, or a hospital-physician partnership, I provide the structural read that no party with a stake in closing can: whether the control, economics, and governance operate as the transaction represents, and how the arrangement is likely to behave once the founding clinicians are paid out and the terms are tested. The work product is a written assessment of where representation and operational reality diverge, framed for a deal team to act on — the divergences that warrant a price adjustment, an escrow, a covenant, or a closer look — and scoped to the diligence timeline.

Pre-signing structural review. When counsel or a counterparty is finalizing an ASC, MSO, joint-venture, or value-based arrangement, I read the documents against the operational reality they produce, locating the specific points at which the reserved powers, compensation, exit, and cash-flow terms depart from what the agreement represents. The review is delivered before signature, while the terms can still change.

Independent analysis in disputes. When an arrangement is contested, and the question turns on whether control was real or merely papered, I provide independent structural analysis of the substance-over-form record for counsel, separate from the litigation and without a position in its outcome. Because the method is published and documented, the basis for each finding — what the record shows, and what is inferred from it — is set out to be examined rather than taken on the analyst’s word.

Standing structural research. When an institution needs to follow a sector rather than a single transaction, I provide retained structural research on consolidation arrangements and the enforcement landscape, including bespoke analysis of specific platforms or sub-sectors as questions arise.

How an engagement runs

  1. 1Conflicts check. Before anything is discussed in substance, I check the parties and the platform against current and prior work. If there is a conflict, I say so and decline. This takes two business days.
  2. 2Scoping. What documents exist, what question is actually being asked, and what the deliverable is. Engagements are scoped individually and the fee is fixed in advance. It never varies with the finding or with whether the transaction closes.
  3. 3The reading. The published instruments applied to the documents in hand. Work proceeds under a confidentiality protocol, and where it is appropriate it is structured through counsel so that the analysis is delivered as a privileged input rather than a freestanding report. A reading typically takes two to three weeks from the point the documents are in hand.
  4. 4Delivery. A written assessment of where representation and operational reality diverge, in the form described above, delivered against your timeline rather than mine.

This is independent structural analysis. It complements legal and financial counsel and is not legal advice, a legal opinion, or investment advice.

Discuss an engagement

Tell me the platform, the specialty, and roughly when the terms have to be settled. I will tell you whether the reading is worth commissioning, and what it would cost, before you commit to anything.

Email founder@certagridhealth.com

The firm's research series is now available: four volumes across two companion sets, presenting CertaGrid's structural and operational verification methodology in instrument form for application by counsel, advisers, investors, and operators evaluating consolidation arrangements at the document level. Each set pairs a structural volume, which reads how an arrangement is built, with an operational volume, which verifies how it actually runs. Each volume is available on its own, each set as a pair, or all four together as the complete library, with one year of structural updates included.

Set One — Ambulatory Surgery Center Consolidation

Structural Verification

$175

Buy Now
Operational Verification

$250

Buy Now

Both volumes as a set, $400Buy the set

Two volumes, 342 and 328 pages, 670 in all, with a template for every instrument and a worked application to a composite ASC.

Volume One — nine platform profiles

  • Surgery Partners NASDAQ: SGRY
  • Tenet Healthcare / USPI NYSE: THC
  • SCA Health / Optum / UnitedHealth NYSE: UNH
  • AmSurg / Envision Healthcare
  • U.S. Orthopaedic Partners USOP
  • SurgCenter Development SCD
  • Compass Surgical Partners
  • Regent Surgical Health
  • and additional operators

Each profile is read against the platform's SEC filings and public disclosures.

Volume Two — the seven instruments

  1. 1The Control-Allocation Matrix. Authority read across six dimensions of control: equity, governance, operational authority, economic participation, clinical autonomy, and exit and leverage.
  2. 2The Risk and Vulnerability Matrix. Five categories of risk exposure against two dimensions of vulnerability.
  3. 3The Reserved-Powers Risk Checklist. The reserved-powers landscape that board composition alone does not reveal.
  4. 4The Partnership-Reality-Gap Audit. The disciplined comparison that establishes the gap between the public readings and operative reality.
  5. 5The Autonomy-Preservation Protocol. Where clinical autonomy is retained in form and shaped in operation.
  6. 6The Discovery-Roadmap Tool. What to ask for, and where the operative evidence is reached.
  7. 7The Composite Verification Engagement. The instruments integrated into a single engagement, end to end.

Set Two — MSO and DSO Arrangements

For the moment the agreement is on the table

The reserved powers that decide clinical authority are not public, and filing work reaches them only in fragments: a term, a renewal structure, a fee basis, disclosed once and then aggregated away. But a group being offered affiliation has the document in front of it, and its adviser has limited time to read it before the terms are settled. This is the set for that moment: what each provision grants, where the reserved powers actually sit, and what to ask for next. Seven instruments, each with a template you can run against the agreement in hand.

Structural Anatomy

$175

Buy Now
Operational Verification

$250

Buy Now

Both volumes as a set, $400Buy the set

Two volumes, 134 and 126 pages, with a template for every instrument and a worked application to composite dental and physician arrangements.

Volume One — the anatomy, by structural question

The structural volume reads by dimension, each opening with the question it turns on, worked through both professions, dental and physician.

  1. 1Control. Who holds the reserved powers.
  2. 2Economics. Where the value goes.
  3. 3Governance. How the powers are allocated.
  4. 4Exit. The transfer power.
  5. 5Payer Ownership. When the payer and the provider are one enterprise.

Volume Two — the instruments

The same seven instruments as the ASC volume, re-templated for MSO and DSO arrangements, with two additions specific to this domain.

  1. 1The Entity Control Map. New here. The arrangement drawn across its entities, alongside the Control-Allocation Matrix.
  2. 2The Disclosure Drift Timeline. New here. How the representations drift across the operating term, alongside the Autonomy-Preservation Protocol.
  3. 3The Representation-Reality-Gap Audit. The ASC volume's Partnership-Reality-Gap Audit, reworked for arrangements rather than partnerships.

Carried across from the ASC volume and re-templated: the Control-Allocation Matrix, the Risk and Vulnerability Matrix, the Reserved-Powers Risk Checklist, the Autonomy-Preservation Protocol, the Discovery-Roadmap Tool, and the Composite Verification Engagement.

The Complete Verification Library

All four volumes, both domains, with one year of structural updates included.

$750

Buy the complete library


CertaGrid Health was founded by Scott C. Williams, who serves as President and Founder. Williams brings more than 20 years of healthcare strategy and operations experience, including leadership roles at Kaiser Permanente (Hawaii and Georgia Regions) and PeaceHealth. His analytical framework draws on extensive operational experience inside health systems and payer organizations. Williams is a former United States Marine Corps officer.


founder@certagridhealth.com